Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.001751 0.001827 0.001906 0.001993 0.002089 0.002191 0.002308
2025-07-13 0.001583 0.001685 0.001794 0.001922 0.002069 0.002232 0.002432
2025-07-20 0.001498 0.001619 0.001753 0.001915 0.002109 0.002336 0.002628
2025-07-27 0.001443 0.001579 0.001735 0.001929 0.002168 0.002461 0.002858
2025-08-03 0.001384 0.001529 0.001699 0.001915 0.002189 0.002537 0.003032
2025-08-10 0.001349 0.001505 0.001689 0.001930 0.002245 0.002659 0.003279
2025-08-17 0.001307 0.001468 0.001662 0.001919 0.002264 0.002732 0.003464
2025-08-24 0.001266 0.001430 0.001629 0.001899 0.002267 0.002780 0.003615
2025-08-31 0.001254 0.001427 0.001641 0.001936 0.002350 0.002950 0.003983
2025-09-07 0.001231 0.001409 0.001632 0.001944 0.002392 0.003061 0.004271
2025-09-14 0.001198 0.001377 0.001603 0.001923 0.002389 0.003102 0.004443
2025-09-21 0.001166 0.001345 0.001572 0.001896 0.002375 0.003123 0.004578
2025-09-28 0.001140 0.001320 0.001551 0.001884 0.002385 0.003186 0.004813
2025-10-05 0.001096 0.001270 0.001494 0.001819 0.002309 0.003098 0.004722
2025-10-12 0.001076 0.001251 0.001479 0.001812 0.002323 0.003166 0.004982
2025-10-19 0.001063 0.001242 0.001476 0.001823 0.002367 0.003290 0.005399
2025-10-26 0.001043 0.001222 0.001458 0.001811 0.002370 0.003341 0.005656
2025-11-02 0.001033 0.001216 0.001458 0.001825 0.002417 0.003478 0.006182
2025-11-09 0.001016 0.001199 0.001443 0.001815 0.002424 0.003540 0.006521
2025-11-16 0.000997 0.001179 0.001422 0.001796 0.002415 0.003567 0.006768
2025-11-23 0.000995 0.001182 0.001435 0.001830 0.002498 0.003792 0.007768
2025-11-30 0.000986 0.001174 0.001432 0.001837 0.002534 0.003926 0.008539
2025-12-07 0.000969 0.001156 0.001412 0.001818 0.002522 0.003951 0.008899